Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $570.75
- Potential payout
- $675.44
- Potential profit
- $104.69
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$29.26
Polymarket Trader
Emmnanuel
0x5fd0195383567423c3d6d9a8b7a41b176ebd5d40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.77K
- Realized PnL
- $250.87
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $387.78
- Potential payout
- $596.58
- Potential profit
- $208.8
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$32.22
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $536.38
- Potential payout
- $554.4
- Potential profit
- $18.02
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $46.23
Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $277.56
- Potential payout
- $336.44
- Potential profit
- $58.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$22.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $245.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.09
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.75
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.26
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $60.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.78
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.25
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $19.32
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$50.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$129.15
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$315.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 84% 119.05 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 62% 161.29 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86.1% 579.08 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 92% 217.39 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 85% 235.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 704.16 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 56.2% 267.02 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 62% 321.82 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 88% 113.64 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 93% 322.59 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 115.32 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 89% 168.54 shares