Polymarket Trader

IgnorantCypher

0x5fd4c6d9dba9b6a2b4c0a29e01a07affbc1cc0fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83.15
Realized PnL: $2.41K
Win rate: 64.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.7K
Potential profit: $8.7K
User PnL: -$168.99

No position

Will Bill Clinton's remarks not air?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.39K
Potential profit: $5.39K
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.31K
Potential profit: $5.31K
User PnL: -$386.99

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $67.31
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.78K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$82.69

No position

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $15.84
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$32.03

Yes position

Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$155

Yes position

Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$147

Yes position

Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$275

No position

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$469

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$124.74

No position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$207

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton say "White House" during his Epstein testimony?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton say "Fifth" during his Epstein testimony?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $980.41
Potential profit: $980.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton say "Daughter" during his Epstein testimony?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $908.59
Potential profit: $908.59
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $845.68
Potential profit: $845.68
User PnL: -$151

Yes position

Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $809.75
Potential profit: $809.75
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.7
Potential profit: $799.7
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $715.1
Potential profit: $715.1
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $913.8

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.77

No position

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.68

No position

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.85

No position

Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.17

No position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.67

No position

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $127.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

Will Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.93

Yes position

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $7.31

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.22

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$8.25

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$45.31

No position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$47.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 8.3% 2,353.85 shares
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Yes 5% 395.64 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Yes 31% 124.68 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 14% 290.92 shares
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

No 2% 2,437.13 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 14% 360.65 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 15.6% 655.43 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 884.61 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 26% 884.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Down 48% 80.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Down 40% 119.6 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 7% 1,100 shares