Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $11.04
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $12.96
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Polymarket Trader
0x5fd9...332b
0x5fd971a5ca4e4da284140cbec4d50aa0b2c7332b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $63.9
- Realized PnL
- $2.69
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $18.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $14.16
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- Multiplier
- 6.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 82% 8 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 7 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 95% 8 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 11 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96.5% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 6 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 38% 9 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 92% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 24.7% 10 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.4% 18 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 78% 9 shares