No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $7.63K
- Potential payout
- $12.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$617.9
Polymarket Trader
ThemanofLadyLuck
0x5fdad8fd269101e238b854870f78cae9b63f01d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.77K
- Realized PnL
- $31.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $480.02
- Potential payout
- $6.62K
- Potential profit
- $6.14K
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$29.79
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- -$17.16
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $107.88
- Potential payout
- $4.79K
- Potential profit
- $4.69K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.3%
- Current value
- $345.19
- Potential payout
- $902.45
- Potential profit
- $557.26
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $62.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $79.71
- Potential payout
- $658.8
- Potential profit
- $579.08
- Multiplier
- 8.26x
- User PnL
- $10.99
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $251.74
- Potential payout
- $614
- Potential profit
- $362.26
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $20.28
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $267.79
- Potential payout
- $399.69
- Potential profit
- $131.9
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $27.98
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $38.36
- Potential payout
- $213.11
- Potential profit
- $174.75
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $109.39
- Potential payout
- $125.02
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.15
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $13.03
- Potential payout
- $81.94
- Potential profit
- $68.91
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $42.08
- Potential payout
- $54.3
- Potential profit
- $12.22
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $7.12
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $17.88
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $2.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Yes position
Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Solana all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Biden drops out by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.27
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.59
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.44
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.33
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $607.27
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $604.7
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.82
No position
Will $ETH reach 3.7k in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.03
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $551.27
No position
Fact Check: Was Trump wearing a bulletproof vest?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 17% 213.11 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No 41% 321.95 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 13.5% 547.19 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 13.7% 40 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 26.4% 1,020.87 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 26.8% 128.13 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 26.9% 19.9 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 27% 24.9 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?No 3% 765.57 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?No 3.1% 400 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 31.3% 902.45 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 17.2% 30 shares