Yes position
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $25.74
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Polymarket Trader
relaxedvolvo
0x5fe50a51a6c965ff6c20ebc2787867aabe1fcdc9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.68
- Realized PnL
- -$1.08
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp 83% 3.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp 63% 3.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown 22% 4.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp 60% 1.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp 48% 4.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown 98% 4.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown 70.3% 4.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Yes 17% 29.41 shares