Polymarket Trader

electionplayer

0x5fe745de625411f3376e67d5708481b98b5d44a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.69K
Realized PnL: $14.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$58.44

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $128.57

No position

Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $419.87
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $639.8

No position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $594.29
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $582.52
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $452.64

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $847.69
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $161.47
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $347.69

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$237.35

Yes position

Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

No position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $525.78
Potential payout: $687.29
Potential profit: $161.51
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $225.78

Yes position

Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $327.4
Potential payout: $641.97
Potential profit: $314.56
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $127.4

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $486.46
Potential payout: $600.57
Potential profit: $114.11
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $186.46

No position

Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $421.04
Potential payout: $557.67
Potential profit: $136.63
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $21.04

Yes position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $19.77
Potential payout: $549.04
Potential profit: $529.28
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$30.23

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

No position

Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $310.2
Potential payout: $358.61
Potential profit: $48.41
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $9.43
Potential payout: $157.12
Potential profit: $147.69
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$10.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $994.22

No position

Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720.89

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.27

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.26

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $527

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.19

Yes position

Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450

Yes position

Will AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $417.28

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.23

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.86

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.33

No position

Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.32

Yes position

Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.37

Yes position

Will AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.78

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.83

Yes position

Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244

Yes position

Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.89

Yes position

Will Malmö FF vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.66

Yes position

Will Ferencvarosi TC vs. Plzen end in a draw?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.16

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.63

No position

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 25% 800 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 57.2% 4,035.64 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?

Yes 7% 714.29 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 10% 500 shares
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 28% 535.71 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 15% 333.33 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 31.7% 157.73 shares
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?

Yes 1% 1,760.75 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 17.8% 280.9 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.8% 1,815.46 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61.9% 8,071.28 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 32% 312.5 shares