Polymarket Trader

timmythewhale

0x6000bd089eafe43b6d58b44a590c5d6dd643f302

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.25M
Realized PnL: -$18.82K
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $749.6K
Potential payout: $751.48K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: $47.99K

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $159.76K
Potential payout: $167.12K
Potential profit: $7.35K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $238.64

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $82.4K
Potential payout: $99.88K
Potential profit: $17.48K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.1%
Current value: $69.39K
Potential payout: $85.56K
Potential profit: $16.17K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$7.53K

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $71.99K
Potential payout: $72.64K
Potential profit: $653.77
User PnL: $361.32

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $47.49K
Potential payout: $49.7K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.3%
Current value: $43.19K
Potential payout: $48.37K
Potential profit: $5.18K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.2K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $37.43
Potential payout: $24.95K
Potential profit: $24.91K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.82K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $21.89K
Potential profit: $19.16K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$747.16

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $6.89K
Potential payout: $15.49K
Potential profit: $8.59K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$3.49K

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $8.75K
Potential payout: $11.28K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $155.28

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$5.97K

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $9.65K
Potential payout: $9.99K
Potential profit: $344.79
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $54.97

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$3.15K

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.91
Potential profit: $999.91
User PnL: -$58.99

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.25
Potential profit: $318.25
User PnL: -$211.78

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.89K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$45.71K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 95.4% 64.94 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

No 99.1% 10,730.22 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

No 96% 17,162.78 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 48% 485.54 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 96.4% 78,544.27 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 0.4% 117.66 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 85.5% 4,843 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

No 99.9% 20,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 12.4% 7,519.79 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 93.5% 20.99 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 96% 21.75 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

No 99.9% 20,000 shares