Polymarket Trader

0x6004D

0x6004d241e20dae0dd30216b9129fedc70b5cecc1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $21.22
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 7.8% 10 shares
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 12 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 6.3% 12.99 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 99.99 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 40.78 shares
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.8% 12 shares
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Yes 68% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Yes 39.8% 5 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 9% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

No 22.8% 4.99 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?

No 33% 5 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17% 10 shares