Yes position
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $581.28
- Potential profit
- $581.28
- User PnL
- -$110
Polymarket Trader
balthazar.net
0x600711e2f02a9484106160b7a05d292958c01788
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.02
- Realized PnL
- $9.85
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $139.17
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $24.96
- Potential payout
- $160.49
- Potential profit
- $135.54
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $19.38
- Potential payout
- $125.04
- Potential profit
- $105.66
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $69.19
- Potential payout
- $69.64
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $19.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 88% 116.27 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 42% 238.1 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 15.6% 160.49 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 20% 125.04 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 15% 166.67 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 62% 322.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Yes 6.4% 156.28 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 71.8% 69.64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 107.53 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 86% 116.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Yes 23.5% 425 shares