Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $420.49
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Polymarket Trader
mizoria
0x60169179d63356c9b9345c67d656a22e7158f246
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $664.14
- Realized PnL
- $15.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $243.65
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $856.35
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- $22.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.06
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.92
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.17
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.53
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.95
Yes position
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.11
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $199.09
Yes position
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.51
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.22
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.55
No position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.86
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.02
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $39.88
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.05
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 61% 5 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes 76% 5 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 63% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 69% 1,575.47 shares
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.1% 6,000 shares
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.1% 5,400 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 64% 158.13 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 1.2% 8,031.95 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 59.9% 2,299.21 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 38% 3,620 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 51% 2,205.19 shares