Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $29.15
- Potential profit
- $28.2
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Polymarket Trader
0x6018F7BcdC7dCE5e83aaaa50275a6CDfE2b92966-1781109288918
0x6018f7bcdc7dce5e83aaaa50275a6cdfe2b92966
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.99
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $20.33
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $14.32
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $10.88
- Potential profit
- $10.49
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $9.61
- Potential profit
- $8.03
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.82
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?No 10% 10 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 3.4% 29.15 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 4.7% 21.28 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will US annex any territory in 2026?Yes 9.2% 10.88 shares
- Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes 40% 5 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 9.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 34% 8.82 shares