63sdf

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $294.85
Potential profit: $293.82
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $196.81
Potential profit: $196.12
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $184.02
Potential profit: $183.38
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will White House post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $174.48
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $105.47
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Solana reach $100 in June?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $77.2
Potential profit: $76.12
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $37.91
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.17

Austria position

Spread: Austria (-2.5)

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $37.7
Potential profit: $37.13
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Norway finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $35.62
Potential profit: $35.37
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $33.54
Potential profit: $33.29
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $33.1
Potential profit: $32.39
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.71

South Africa position

Spread: South Africa (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $31.69
Potential profit: $30.16
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Senegal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.85
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $25.61
Potential profit: $24.94
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Jules Koundé be in France's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.3
Potential profit: $25.3
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.3
Potential profit: $25.3
User PnL: -$0.76

IR Iran position

Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $23.89
Potential profit: $23.44
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will BNB dip to $400 in June?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $22.3
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $22.1
Potential profit: $21.39
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $20.86
Potential profit: $20.53
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Austria?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $18.12
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $17.6
Potential profit: $16.94
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $15.5
Potential profit: $9.38
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.32
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 in June?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Implied probability: 36%
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 28.17x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 22?

Implied probability: 48%
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 22?