Polymarket Trader

0x60304d49551F00C04f89c830c1BDaB8C94b268D3-1776721713342

0x60304d49551f00c04f89c830c1bdab8c94b268d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.49
Realized PnL: $24.89
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.59
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.58
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.66
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $13.2
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.81
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Australia come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: -$1.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 5.1% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 3.6% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?

Yes 13% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 4.3% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 5% 5 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Yes 5.4% 20 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 33% 4.96 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Yes 6% 20 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Yes 21% 7.5 shares
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 15.3% 10 shares
Will Australia come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 27% 10 shares
Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 16% 10 shares