Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $790.86
- Potential payout
- $899.73
- Potential profit
- $108.87
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $273.9
Polymarket Trader
Mirror.
0x60416994417ef69dacbcc0d1c3043961e4b50432
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $790.86
- Realized PnL
- $2.71K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.22
- Potential profit
- $241.22
- User PnL
- -$98.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.28
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.72
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.57
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $166.69
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.98
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.99
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.42
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.95
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.05
Yes position
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.75
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.04
No position
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish second in the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.07
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.31
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.96
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.47
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.49
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.53
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.02
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$35.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 57.5% 899.73 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 86.2% 1,095.77 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 71% 1,095.77 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 779.44 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 74% 250.31 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 80% 86.21 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 61% 442.92 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 17,013.33 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?21.9% 1,273.28 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 52% 285.37 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 26% 288.81 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes 48% 77.02 shares