Polymarket Trader

UltimaWe4pon

0x604640601895b678fe76d0e2a06d5cd1985f3f9d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $230.34
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 93°F or below on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $15.88
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $609.13
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $13.1
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $463.09
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $11.74
Potential payout: $232.55
Potential profit: $220.81
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $12.77
Potential payout: $187.78
Potential profit: $175.01
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $11.16
Potential payout: $139.49
Potential profit: $128.33
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $126.93
Potential profit: $116.14
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $102.78
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $100.55
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $89.55
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $91.4
Potential profit: $89.21
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $87.27
Potential profit: $81.16
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $78.59
Potential profit: $70.34
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $12.11
Potential payout: $74.27
Potential profit: $62.16
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $6.92
Potential payout: $62.94
Potential profit: $56.02
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $56.25
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $61.08
Potential profit: $58.85
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $12.44
Potential payout: $60.67
Potential profit: $48.23
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $59.22
Potential profit: $50.04
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $5.66
Potential payout: $56.58
Potential profit: $50.92
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$4.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $13.53
Potential payout: $53.06
Potential profit: $39.53
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $14.47
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $38.16
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $44.47
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $11.31
Potential payout: $52.62
Potential profit: $41.3
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.25
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$2.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 16?

No 68% 3.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15?

Yes 12% 12.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 16?

No 69% 6.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 15?

Yes 16% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 15?

Yes 9.7% 19.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?

Yes 13% 56.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?

No 80% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?

Yes 12% 21.79 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 16?

Yes 7.1% 68.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 15?

Yes 19% 9.74 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 15?

Yes 7% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 16?

No 76% 13.15 shares