No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $300K
- User PnL
- -$868.8
Polymarket Trader
akimbogod
0x60567382d04d7af8776eea04468a918519ebc27c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.27K
- Realized PnL
- $23.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $16.89K
- Potential payout
- $28.62K
- Potential profit
- $11.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $5.61K
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $21.49K
- Potential payout
- $26.9K
- Potential profit
- $5.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $3.15K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.55K
- Potential profit
- $16.55K
- User PnL
- -$7.02K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.39K
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $3.87K
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $76.96
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $168.81
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $63.32
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$357.78
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $653.69
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $85.42
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $95.54
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$356.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$254.99
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $432
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$747.43
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$454.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$269.99
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $830.84
- Potential payout
- $889.55
- Potential profit
- $58.71
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$320
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $217.17
- Potential payout
- $438.73
- Potential profit
- $221.56
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$103.1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $408.53
- Potential profit
- $408.53
- User PnL
- -$375.85
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $379
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$17.4
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.8%
- Current value
- $111.96
- Potential payout
- $313.17
- Potential profit
- $201.21
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $47.59
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $271.23
- Potential payout
- $276.34
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.76
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$72
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.8%
- Current value
- $59.64
- Potential payout
- $98.1
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $13.55
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $75.27
- Potential payout
- $78.33
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $889.34
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.79
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $757.12
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $659.66
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570.3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.14
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $537.46
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509.95
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.5
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.79
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.99
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $351.86
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.98
No position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.84
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 26.8% 2,463.54 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 24% 3,250 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 53% 4,900 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 87.4% 9,999.96 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 97.6% 1,200 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.2% 2,819.79 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 32.3% 600 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 93.3% 68.86 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 86.1% 1,200 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 68.8% 2,100 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No 70% 150.92 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No 22% 2,945.04 shares