Yes position
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Ends Feb 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $21.53
- Potential payout
- $138.88
- Potential profit
- $117.35
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$22.92
Polymarket Trader
0xshinji
0x605e2572520fc068577f66349859cea282303aac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.32
- Realized PnL
- -$3.49
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $37.06
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $80.59
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Yes position
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $17.98
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $94.38
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$28.09
Yes position
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $9.76
- Potential payout
- $20.55
- Potential profit
- $10.79
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$5.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Y
Yes position
Will Paraguay finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Y
Yes position
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Y
Yes position
Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?Yes 45% 36.59 shares
- Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?No 45.7% 30.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?No 62% 23.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?No 49% 34.11 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 28% 9.8 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 20% 12.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?No 57% 8.33 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 36% 10 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes 52% 9.09 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?No 16% 27.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?No 36% 8.93 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 86% 52.66 shares