No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $1
Polymarket Trader
0x605f...dabb
0x605f974bbad1ad7dab489df6833b69bb9552dabb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $39.04
- Realized PnL
- -$10.6
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.37
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $6.36
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $6.35
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.44
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Yes position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 64% 7 shares
- Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 56% 8.14 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes 62% 8.13 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6.81 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 22% 6.36 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 2 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 74% 6 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 89% 6.47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 36% 3 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 20% 6.35 shares