Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Polymarket Trader
0x6061d29e15BD677220C73dcdB5a6Fb0F23A82D4F-1775284879007
0x6061d29e15bd677220c73dcdb5a6fb0f23a82d4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.55
- Realized PnL
- $111.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.8
- Potential profit
- $109.8
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $52.04
- Potential profit
- $51.8
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$13.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.79
- Potential profit
- $34.79
- User PnL
- -$27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.67
- Potential profit
- $28.67
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.22
- Potential profit
- $24.22
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.56
- Potential profit
- $19.56
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $17.95
- Potential payout
- $18.09
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$2.23
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $11.68
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.6%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $11.51
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.32
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $8.46
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 7.5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74.4% 8.06 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 50.4% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 11.68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 7.1 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 82.1% 18.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 29% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 29% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 22% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown 78% 5.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown 48% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown 48% 5 shares