Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Polymarket Trader
phantompilotjoshuaroberts
0x606e90073eb2b86fe9eb0838d6c085fe921e5547
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.48
- Realized PnL
- $3.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.16
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.06
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $2.79
- Potential profit
- $2.77
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 45% 3.16 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 49% 3.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 43% 2.79 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 48% 5 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 45% 5.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 57% 5 shares