No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $20.14K
- Potential payout
- $22.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $878.05
Polymarket Trader
SleeperHunter
0x606ffc68a29ebf92f9dc1d041fec5d0127571083
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.44K
- Realized PnL
- $31.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $8.48K
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- User PnL
- $12.76
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $5.86K
- Potential payout
- $6.23K
- Potential profit
- $370.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $921.48
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.36K
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $40.52
- User PnL
- $4.14
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $475
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $425
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $877.44
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $3.74K
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $359.44
- Potential payout
- $4.52K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $83.81
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $967.5
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.53K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$161.65
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $638
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.36K
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$446
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $672.57
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$53.38
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $79
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $112.2
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $46.39
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $92.34
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$244.35
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $247.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $172.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905.01
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $48.05
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $890
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $110
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $692
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $108
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $68
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $410
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $487.23
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $152.24
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $87.35
- Potential payout
- $342.55
- Potential profit
- $255.2
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$172.2
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $193.38
- Potential payout
- $231.6
- Potential profit
- $38.21
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $15.59
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $107.96
- Potential payout
- $108.99
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- User PnL
- $14.64
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $48.19
- Potential payout
- $50.67
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Global Esports position
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $990
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850.03
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.44
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.15
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $709.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $691.74
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.96
Dplus KIA position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $664.58
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.03
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.93
No position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.98
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.9
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes 0.5% 3,453.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.6% 750 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 8,099.64 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes 2% 446.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,420 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 75.8% 4,284.25 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 35.7% 1,702.42 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 82.4% 238.48 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 82.9% 454.62 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 83.7% 5,191.61 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 41.1% 3,716.32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No 93.1% 1,000 shares