Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $124.47
- Potential payout
- $124.53
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $14.88
Polymarket Trader
6ad5d29de368db3dcf6f9d8e133a223a
0x6078504ec4394b31f7950f0e40323fc0846f4204
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.47
- Realized PnL
- $611.87
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.18
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.9
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.15
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.83
Purdue Boilermakers position
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Purdue Boilermakers position
Evansville Aces vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 24, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 88.6% 225.73 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 97.9% 8.69 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 96.9% 20.62 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 89% 133.58 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes 96.8% 2.62 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes 97.6% 1.82 shares
- Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No 76% 200 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes 91% 107.52 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes 91% 27.46 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes 87.4% 571.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7PM ETDown 92% 6.73 shares
- Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No 81% 200 shares