Polymarket Trader

mankiting

@rickyting

0x607b1ddca31da99d9009580dd01d3535c5f5f2d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.87
Realized PnL: $251.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $544.12
Potential profit: $544.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $15.42
Potential payout: $106.69
Potential profit: $91.27
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $45.29
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.53
Potential profit: $51.53
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $50.58
Potential profit: $45.77
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$15.2

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $9.73
Potential payout: $48.54
Potential profit: $38.81
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $27.17
Potential profit: $22.21
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $21.58
Potential profit: $17.56
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.61
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.68
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $12.58
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.92

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.81
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $10.41
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.9
Potential profit: $8.9
User PnL: -$5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.23

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.59

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $4.18

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.4% 53.19 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 27.17 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 57% 8.77 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 294.12 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 47% 10.64 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 21.58 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 250 shares