Polymarket Trader

io3

0x607e2dcd504571fac32ba2c78cfa6756ec9d4011

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.61K
Realized PnL: $3.31K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.31K
Potential profit: $8.31K
User PnL: -$4K

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $73.85
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$76.15

Yes position

Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $421.89
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$578.1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $733.71
Potential payout: $838.52
Potential profit: $104.82
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $93.67

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $799.58
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$66.25

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $703.71
Potential profit: $703.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $559.73
Potential profit: $559.73
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.16
Potential profit: $456.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.91
Potential profit: $386.91
User PnL: -$10

ETH position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290.87
Potential profit: $290.87
User PnL: -$20

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.01
Potential profit: $277.01
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.22
Potential profit: $273.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $238.1
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $138.1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.18
Potential profit: $196.18
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$50

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $103.98
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $9.66
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $832.42

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.85

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.55

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $158.42

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.83

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.18

No position

Grok 4.20 released by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.97

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

No position

U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.47

Yes position

Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

US defaults on debt in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Yes 8.5% 70.59 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

No 77% 1,415.58 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 57% 1,754.39 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Yes 14.2% 703.71 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Yes 42% 238.1 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Yes 5.2% 1,924.96 shares
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?

No 93.4% 1,200.59 shares
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

No 77% 3.81 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 60% 5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

No 95.5% 1,151.83 shares
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?

No 72.2% 277.01 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

No 96% 630.21 shares