No position
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $50.01
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Polymarket Trader
541410
@2i9bdzMBWamG99v
0x608f1dc8f23c5840e78d5e87cbe8cd7161869065
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5
- Realized PnL
- $2.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.7
- Potential profit
- $35.7
- User PnL
- -$12.14
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$16.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Heat position
Heat vs. Rockets
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will Harry Dunn be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.45
Yes position
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $9.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.2
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 87.5% 22.87 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes 8.8% 50 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 34% 20 shares
- Will ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?No 55.4% 20 shares
- Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?Yes 36% 50 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes 78% 50 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 86.1% 50 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No 63% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No 53% 1.17 shares
- Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No 60% 20 shares
- Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by July 31?Yes 8% 20 shares
- Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?No 22% 2 shares