Polymarket Trader

Harlequin1975

0x609f7f5207fe562bc653bd38c0df51b34f9a317a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $20.58
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.27K
Potential profit: $28.27K
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.08

No position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Ends Aug 14, 2028

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 87.2% 3,807.56 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 64.8% 5,198.42 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 85% 25,283.1 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 91% 113 shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?

Yes 68.1% 146.27 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 92% 516.3 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 87% 23,108 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 94% 3,660.64 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 80% 0.99 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 80% 0.35 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 74% 0.1 shares
Will Steve Bannon be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Yes 0.5% 8.28 shares