Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
sinbalta
0x60a07873e47f04180cee62b40b38002f7f369e85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.89
- Realized PnL
- $523.08
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $14.41
- Potential payout
- $364.87
- Potential profit
- $350.46
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$10.59
No position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360.31
- Potential profit
- $360.31
- User PnL
- -$238.57
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $53.48
- Potential payout
- $260.87
- Potential profit
- $207.39
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$6.52
No position
OpenAI social app in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.19
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.7
- Potential profit
- $112.7
- User PnL
- -$78.22
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.48
- Potential profit
- $82.48
- User PnL
- -$32.37
No position
OpenAI browser in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.33
- Potential profit
- $39.33
- User PnL
- -$9.44
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
France debt downgrade by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $33.9
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.98
- Potential profit
- $18.98
- User PnL
- -$8.14
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.44
Yes position
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.15
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.1
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.78
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.35
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.12
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.76
No position
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.94
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.97
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.08
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
No position
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?
Ends Apr 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Gold hit $3,400 before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 4.3% 1,154.77 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No 96.2% 41.53 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes 64% 61.33 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No 94.5% 41.53 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes 79% 99.04 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No 89% 87.91 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes 79% 5.41 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No 91% 87.91 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No 96.1% 83.05 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes 31% 32.26 shares