Polymarket Trader

PolyEGG

0x60a82a9abb8fed5a860bbd7bf74941316c7d7d37

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.04K
Realized PnL: $1.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $17.61
Potential payout: $978.39
Potential profit: $960.78
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$48.17

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $953.91
Potential profit: $953.43
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$293.15

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $29.85
Potential payout: $877.85
Potential profit: $848
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$103.76

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $73
Potential payout: $772.48
Potential profit: $699.48
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: -$14.33

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $74.8
Potential payout: $709.02
Potential profit: $634.22
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $392.91
Potential payout: $638.88
Potential profit: $245.97
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $38.38

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $459.51
Potential payout: $540.6
Potential profit: $81.09
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $28.85

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $509.5
Potential profit: $504.91
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476
Potential profit: $476
User PnL: -$99.96

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $456.92
Potential profit: $451.66
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$28.08

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $7.68
Potential payout: $438.66
Potential profit: $430.98
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $409.17
Potential profit: $399.55
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$7.16

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $200.65
Potential payout: $393.43
Potential profit: $192.78
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$10.43

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.17
Potential profit: $352.17
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $43.87
Potential payout: $350.99
Potential profit: $307.12
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $31.9
Potential payout: $327.17
Potential profit: $295.27
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: -$28.54

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $242.87
Potential payout: $273.19
Potential profit: $30.32
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $105.62

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $88.96
Potential payout: $265.54
Potential profit: $176.58
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$15.79

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $8.62
Potential payout: $265.38
Potential profit: $256.75
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $259.16
Potential profit: $254.88
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$16.46

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $231.45
Potential payout: $250.22
Potential profit: $18.77
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $41.02

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $246.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $9.34
Potential payout: $236.45
Potential profit: $227.11
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$12.81

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $100.46
Potential payout: $230.94
Potential profit: $130.48
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$4.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.03

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.45

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.73

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.03

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.65

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.26

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.01

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.22

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.02

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $66.37

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.66

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.03

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.8

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.87

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.66

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.17

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.14

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.99

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.38

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $35.65

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.51

No position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $29.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 40.1% 10.75 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 56.7% 17.23 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 64% 46.15 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 64% 46.88 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 10 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 13.79 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 64% 78.13 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 74% 5 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 38% 13.16 shares