No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.1K
- Potential payout
- $53.67K
- Potential profit
- $48.57K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $839.99
Polymarket Trader
paddaa
@Impij25
0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.9K
- Realized PnL
- $91.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $3.98K
- Potential payout
- $28.16K
- Potential profit
- $24.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $807.56
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $11.26K
- Potential payout
- $20.47K
- Potential profit
- $9.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.73K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $17.97K
- Potential profit
- $15.33K
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $5.07K
- Potential payout
- $16.62K
- Potential profit
- $11.55K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $2.38K
- Potential payout
- $15.87K
- Potential profit
- $13.49K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $12.81K
- Potential profit
- $12.81K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$134.49
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $5.63K
- Potential payout
- $12.51K
- Potential profit
- $6.88K
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $11.69K
- Potential profit
- $11.68K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$54.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $251.58
- Potential payout
- $11.18K
- Potential profit
- $10.93K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $10.6K
- Potential profit
- $10.6K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$82.26
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $10.42K
- Potential profit
- $10.42K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$85.16
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $10.3K
- Potential profit
- $10.29K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$94.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $150.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.67K
- Potential payout
- $9.68K
- Potential profit
- $14.52
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $9.49K
- Potential profit
- $9.49K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$89.53
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $9.12K
- Potential profit
- $7.57K
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- -$914.32
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $7.69K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$585
Yes position
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $8.85K
- Potential profit
- $8.84K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$60.28
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $5.75K
- Potential payout
- $8.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $697.69
Yes position
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $8.4K
- Potential profit
- $8.4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.19
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $847.4
- Potential payout
- $8.27K
- Potential profit
- $7.42K
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $287.54
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $6.63K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $435.7
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $7.55K
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $326.71
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $491.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.85K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.38K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.83K
Yes position
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $4.37K
Yes position
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.7K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
Yes position
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 14.5% 3,574.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 33.8% 2,071.68 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 78.1% 6,402.05 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 23.1% 1,662.84 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 50.9% 4,322.51 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 44.8% 1,749.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59.6% 8,395.57 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 29% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 29% 5,172.41 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 34.4% 1,662.83 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 37.1% 9 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 24% 3,334.68 shares