Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $218.18
- Potential profit
- $182.18
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$64
Polymarket Trader
carmelk
0x60c8ad4853e43e2291e94f8fb87773424cf33d3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.87
- Realized PnL
- $28.99
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "Save America Act" during June 24 Rally?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $19.87
- Potential payout
- $25.32
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "Save America Act" during June 24 Rally?Yes 79% 25.32 shares
- Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp 24% 20.83 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 66.8% 69.91 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 72.1% 80 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 66.7% 149.91 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 72% 145.58 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 68.7% 145.58 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 76.1% 146.22 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 68.4% 146.22 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 45.8% 218.18 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 94.5% 198.94 shares