Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $37.5K
- Potential profit
- $37.48K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$243.71
Polymarket Trader
shinyandrew
0x60ccc2ea4a54b191b6114fa769c03359bb1af23f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.05K
- Realized PnL
- $74.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $13.36
- Potential payout
- $26.72K
- Potential profit
- $26.71K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$95.88
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $605
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.39K
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$205
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $738.19
- Potential payout
- $9.98K
- Potential profit
- $9.24K
- Multiplier
- 13.51x
- User PnL
- $231.98
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $23.44
- Potential payout
- $9.37K
- Potential profit
- $9.35K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$59.81
Yes position
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $24.88
No position
Will Dan Barker win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $60.26
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $60.02
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $265
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $735
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$175
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $54.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $945.5
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $963.44
- Potential payout
- $999.94
- Potential profit
- $36.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $33.5
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $439.34
- Potential payout
- $798.8
- Potential profit
- $359.46
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $47.49
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $421.02
- Potential profit
- $420.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.84
No position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $275.43
- Potential payout
- $420.5
- Potential profit
- $145.07
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $106.58
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $67.72
- Potential payout
- $309.21
- Potential profit
- $241.49
- Multiplier
- 4.57x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $30.76
- Potential payout
- $175.76
- Potential profit
- $145
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $16.7
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $103.29
- Potential profit
- $103.24
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34.46
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.17
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.62K
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73K
Yes position
Will another person win the Bolivian election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77K
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64K
Yes position
Will the Australian Labor Party win 85 or more seats?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3K
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71K
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win less than 45 seats?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $866.6
Yes position
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $844.37
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.25
Yes position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $573.93
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.82
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $468.42
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $435.67
No position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.45
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.73
Yes position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $327.55
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $282.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Dan Barker win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No 89.1% 1,105.62 shares
- Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?Yes 90% 200 shares
- Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?Yes 88.7% 500 shares
- Will Bill Reid win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?No 91.5% 399.17 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 22% 5 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 17% 999.99 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 33% 1,000 shares
- Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 0.2% 750 shares
- Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 82.5% 799.99 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 87% 1,000 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.1% 1,100 shares
- Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?No 86.5% 1,000 shares