Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.34
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Polymarket Trader
0x60cf...24ad
0x60cf8a1b4e003acaa2f05e2501a55ab8590c24ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $59.49
- Realized PnL
- -$0.42
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $23.52
- Potential payout
- $32.9
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $12.9
- Potential profit
- $11.46
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $8.99
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.86
- Potential payout
- $6.86
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.51
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $4.63
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 58.2% 32.9 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 50% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 47% 4.26 shares
- Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?No 33% 9.09 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No 41% 4.88 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 58% 6.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 54% 5.56 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 27% 18.52 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 72.9% 6.86 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?No 1.6% 62.5 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?No 45% 4.44 shares