Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.67K
- Potential payout
- $6.06K
- Potential profit
- $393.89
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $711.02
Polymarket Trader
coastalgusts
0x60dcc9768bfe9f9c286742edc32d48f63b519057
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.23K
- Realized PnL
- $17.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.61K
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$543.42
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $427.5
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $97.5
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $667.48
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $832.48
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$217.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $865
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $113.4
- Potential payout
- $782.05
- Potential profit
- $668.66
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$100.54
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $665.01
- Potential payout
- $703.71
- Potential profit
- $38.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $165.01
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $570.6
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $29.4
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $53.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $958.88
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.02
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.13
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $841.57
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $817
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $771.78
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.04
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.51
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.05
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.3
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $369.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.9
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.44
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.85
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 70% 142.86 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 71.9% 139.03 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 72% 138.89 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 70.7% 282.93 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 57.12 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 86% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 85% 6.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 90% 1,000 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 76% 85 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 76% 100 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 75% 12.54 shares
- Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?Yes 29.1% 515.62 shares