Polymarket Trader

smaugvision

0x60df9c9dd2116c0eec4f3994eccacf0d7fb8a69e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.96K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.53K
Potential profit: $155.53K
User PnL: -$20.48K

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.7K
Potential profit: $100.7K
User PnL: -$10.23K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.82K
Potential profit: $33.82K
User PnL: -$9.01K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.15K
Potential profit: $20.15K
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.41K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $605
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.4K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$127.29

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $260
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $121.02
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

Yes 13% 1,047.37 shares
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

No 92.4% 331.88 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 10,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 10,000 shares
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Yes 4.1% 4,502.68 shares
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Yes 8.6% 2,433.31 shares
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Yes 10% 5,249.49 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Yes 12.6% 44,526.44 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Yes 11% 25,231.42 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Yes 14.8% 19,665.16 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?

Yes 2.2% 1,336.56 shares
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Yes 11% 1,250 shares