Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- User PnL
- -$487.95
Polymarket Trader
Kaiver
0x60ecb272bcd1258c5bff8b15cee9f45f6ec0f09c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $898.86
- Realized PnL
- $4.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $551.48
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 5.36x
- User PnL
- $267.09
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $11.18
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$141.13
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $81.73
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$18.27
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $100.89
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$49.11
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $113.92
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$36.08
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Chainlink reach $12 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$243.85
Yes position
Will Chainlink reach $14 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$80.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $39.66
- Potential payout
- $979.14
- Potential profit
- $939.49
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$185.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $801.7
- Potential profit
- $801.7
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $784.8
- Potential profit
- $784.8
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $770
- Potential profit
- $770
- User PnL
- -$20.02
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $768.61
- Potential profit
- $768.61
- User PnL
- -$259.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $755.76
- Potential profit
- $755.76
- User PnL
- -$26.4
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $507.93
- Potential profit
- $507.93
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $504.63
- Potential profit
- $504.63
- User PnL
- -$300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $122.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.7% 1,058.27 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 767.14 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 767.14 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 1,923.08 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 1,898.73 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 1,785.71 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 1,415.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETDown 61.8% 281.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp 98% 172.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp 87% 57.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp 87% 57.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp 87% 57.47 shares