Polymarket Trader

cishan

0x60ee35f0f52ee50014f31f547d25003b1b47548e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.08K
Realized PnL: $2.18K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.09K
Potential profit: $7.09K
User PnL: -$28.34

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $355.13
Potential payout: $455.3
Potential profit: $100.17
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $56.48

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $81.6
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $173.4
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$21.7

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.55
Potential profit: $246.55
User PnL: -$226.33

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $13.42
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $206.58
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: -$16.28

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $51.7
Potential payout: $211
Potential profit: $159.31
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$3.16

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $65
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $172
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $28
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $122.45
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $32.55
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.15

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.15

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $94.29
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $14.72
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $11.44

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $24.83
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $9.57
Potential payout: $23.07
Potential profit: $13.49
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.99

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.69

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Yes 9% 800 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.3% 4,000 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 69% 145.3 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

No 76% 109 shares
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 93.9% 26 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Yes 23% 394.26 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Yes 8% 2,000 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Yes 8% 500 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 15% 650 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 15% 1,300 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Yes 10% 2,000 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 16% 3,400 shares