Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$13.09
Polymarket Trader
ElyasMOON
@Eli_802
0x60f1f5f245a9997cb3b13992fcb2a97e5027466a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.77
- Realized PnL
- $144.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.72
- Potential profit
- $157.72
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $67.23
- Potential profit
- $58.79
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.38
- Potential profit
- $31.38
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $24.64
- Potential profit
- $15.89
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $13.58
- Potential payout
- $24.47
- Potential profit
- $10.89
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.76
- Potential profit
- $23.76
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.68
- Potential profit
- $18.68
- User PnL
- -$12.18
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.24
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- User PnL
- -$2.05
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.63
- Potential profit
- $9.63
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Ena Koike position
ITF Rome: Ena Koike vs Ayana Akli
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.65
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Ethan Quinn position
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.24
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $7.04
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.74
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.11
- Potential profit
- $6.11
- User PnL
- -$4.03
ThunderTalk Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Indiana Fever position
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Ann Li position
Bad Homburg Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.22
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.05
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.77
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Cabo Verde position
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.83x
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 59% 77 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 36% 24.64 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 54.8% 86 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 42% 7 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 43% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 42% 11 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 43% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 43% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 42% 86 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 43% 107 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes 40% 24.47 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes 72% 5 shares