No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$110
Polymarket Trader
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0x61011e9db6c11b85328fdcdd6471983d5f43f85e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $993.18
- Realized PnL
- $258.34
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $469.16
- Potential payout
- $876.94
- Potential profit
- $407.78
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $259.42
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $280.43
- Potential payout
- $876.34
- Potential profit
- $595.91
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$180.49
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.46
- Potential profit
- $600.46
- User PnL
- -$96.56
No position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.03
- Potential profit
- $160.03
- User PnL
- -$46.41
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.6%
- Current value
- $92.61
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $42.39
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$18.09
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $28.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $71.51
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $8.49
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30.9
Yes position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $76.99
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $1
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Wonderful" this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.49
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $29.5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Warrior" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$35.5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.06
- Potential profit
- $25.06
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.34
N
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Trump say "Uber" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes 22% 99.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 25% 50 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 48% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 23 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 29 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 57% 50 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 60% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 50 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 59% 16 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 58% 19.91 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 80 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 45 shares