Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $604.59
- Potential payout
- $6.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.76K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$204.42
Polymarket Trader
vulden
0x6102ad98aa7c373cf7d2e20fd17a4812ab6c702c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $627.36
- Realized PnL
- -$270.13
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $17.94
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $5.11K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$209.45
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$25.8
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $762.39
- Potential profit
- $761.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$33.86
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $27.08
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Cristian position
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline Cristian
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pegula position
Brisbane International: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegula
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Badosa position
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosa
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101.78
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$159.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.6% 762.39 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 10% 150 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 3.2% 625 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?Yes 13% 30.77 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.7% 1,124.1 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.5% 799.51 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 10% 208.1 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 25% 480 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 30% 44.1 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 10% 86.95 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 23% 86.96 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 30% 600 shares