Polymarket Trader

0x61044d7c14491FaD7E28771A227ec85F1A5f62f1-1760399957066

0x61044d7c14491fad7e28771a227ec85f1a5f62f1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.72K
Realized PnL: $106.18
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.38K
Potential payout: $28.25K
Potential profit: $24.88K
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: $294.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $281.33
Potential payout: $8.93K
Potential profit: $8.65K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$40.85

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $948.58
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $614.66
Potential profit: $607.9
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$3.31

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $18.62
Potential payout: $454.26
Potential profit: $435.63
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $5.53
Potential payout: $381.26
Potential profit: $375.73
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $367
Potential profit: $355.81
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$19.61

Yes position

Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $235.62
Potential profit: $230.43
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $70.99
Potential profit: $67.05
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $56.9
Potential profit: $55.65
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $9.73
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $23.26
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$2.47

No position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.84
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $156.69

No position

Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $54.45

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: $4.19

No position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$4.08

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$101.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 159.99 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 52 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.8% 381.26 shares
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.9% 302.27 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 107 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 399.99 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 231.49 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 622 shares
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75% 33.01 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 3.2% 30.05 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 72.05 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 3,800 shares