No position
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $73.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $59.4
Polymarket Trader
Uveus83
0x6104528bf621462acb1db430d7a9c2d1314ce358
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.91K
- Realized PnL
- $125.81
- Win rate
- 91.3%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $47.11
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $23.56
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $724.08
- Potential payout
- $729.19
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- User PnL
- $24.08
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $563.46
- Potential payout
- $567.43
- Potential profit
- $3.97
- User PnL
- $43.46
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $267.39
- Potential payout
- $268.46
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- User PnL
- $37.39
No position
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $203.23
- Potential payout
- $215.05
- Potential profit
- $11.83
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $199.04
- Potential payout
- $214.13
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $177.75
- Potential payout
- $194.26
- Potential profit
- $16.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $168.02
- Potential payout
- $169.04
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- User PnL
- $18.02
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.2%
- Current value
- $115.64
- Potential payout
- $140.77
- Potential profit
- $25.13
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $15.64
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.63
- Potential profit
- $129.63
- User PnL
- -$105
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $104.02
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $10.92
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $101.41
- Potential payout
- $108.11
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.85
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $32.09
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $18.43
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.16
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.32
No position
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$63.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 106.38 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 97% 41.25 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 96.5% 310.87 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 96.8% 309.92 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.8% 477.82 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.2% 145.4 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 95.7% 209 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 98.9% 220.85 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86% 34.9 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 33% 111.11 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 90% 111.11 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 81% 129.63 shares