No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $59.91
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.99
Polymarket Trader
0x61130431637f0166280F86d03D513Eb0E90A3F6e-1773982538426
0x61130431637f0166280f86d03d513eb0e90a3f6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $118.65
- Realized PnL
- $95.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $29.48
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $29.27
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$14.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.33
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.53
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.8% 150 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 168 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.2% 60 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 95.7% 15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.8% 118 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.5% 30 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.8% 30 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.9% 36 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 97.6% 30 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No 92.9% 215.29 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 91% 448.07 shares