Polymarket Trader

MistaJenkins

@JenkinsMista

0x611c20bf7fdc4e88ec4f0172c99efcaa30d5c982

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $261.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.23K
Potential profit: $185.23K
User PnL: -$12.1K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.72K
Potential profit: $176.72K
User PnL: -$10.92K

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.06K
Potential profit: $42.06K
User PnL: -$82.73

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.03K
Potential profit: $41.03K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.88K
Potential profit: $23.88K
User PnL: -$23.88

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.47K
Potential profit: $17.47K
User PnL: -$1.26K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41K
Potential profit: $7.41K
User PnL: -$729.63

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$1K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.27K

Yes position

Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?

Ends Jun 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.18K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31K

Yes position

Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49K

Yes position

Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

VP debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920.15

Yes position

Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.41

Yes position

Trump sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Jul 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $544.33

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $492.51

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.9

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $255.84

Kamala position

Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.16

Yes position

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.33

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.4

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.46

Yes position

Solana above $135 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.23

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.73

No position

Will the debate have 55-60 million viewers?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.36

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

No 99.7% 12,759.84 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 20% 48,139.32 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

No 86% 10,783.12 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 4.6% 2,038.33 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 5.5% 18,787.67 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 6.6% 2,321.02 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 7% 18.7 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 6.5% 2,880.31 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 5.8% 120 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 5.7% 80 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 5.6% 15 shares
Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 218.02 shares