No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $5.51K
- Potential payout
- $6.48K
- Potential profit
- $972.02
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Polymarket Trader
realworld1
0x6122fd43fdb9bd338815dac35f4b6d61620dfc91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.54K
- Realized PnL
- -$134.15
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.93
- Potential profit
- $304.93
- User PnL
- -$183
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.64
- Potential profit
- $44.64
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $34.26
- Potential profit
- $32.91
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $32.05
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $7.87
- Potential payout
- $33.85
- Potential profit
- $25.98
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $33.75
- Potential profit
- $30.02
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $7.01
- Potential payout
- $33.64
- Potential profit
- $26.62
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $33.57
- Potential profit
- $30.13
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $33.29
- Potential profit
- $31.24
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $28.77
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.95
Yes position
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$57.18
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$179.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 9% 663.33 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 66.2% 6,035.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 36% 663.33 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 45% 444.44 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 97.7% 270.27 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 58% 301.23 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 77% 301.23 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 85.8% 270.27 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 74% 540.54 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 60% 304.93 shares
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)BetBoom Team 56% 44.64 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 33.75 shares