Polymarket Trader

0x6125B8924218B2e16b2e8376a590e85829a67771-1781480214591

0x6125b8924218b2e16b2e8376a590e85829a67771

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.61
Realized PnL: $29.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Anthropic position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 68% 8.82 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Yes 9% 5.26 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 84% 11.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 91% 2.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 85% 2.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 83% 2.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 60% 3.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 61% 3.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Down 52% 3.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 99% 4.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 98% 2.04 shares