Polymarket Trader

MrLasso

0x6130c50264d617cf6640e5196d4f4c31228f1392

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.97
Realized PnL: $2.62K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.03K
Potential profit: $9.03K
User PnL: -$313.27

Yes position

Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in September?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $798.34
Potential profit: $798.34
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.38
Potential profit: $595.38
User PnL: -$84.4

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.55
Potential profit: $517.55
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.7%
Current value: $178.97
Potential payout: $419.13
Potential profit: $240.16
Multiplier: 2.34x
User PnL: $90.72

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359.91
Potential profit: $359.91
User PnL: -$59.25

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in November?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.69
Potential profit: $305.69
User PnL: -$28.75

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.16
Potential profit: $253.16
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.67
Potential profit: $190.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.58
Potential profit: $159.58
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.29
Potential profit: $144.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.76
Potential profit: $138.76
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.55
Potential profit: $121.55
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US add more than 125k jobs in November?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US add more than 125k jobs in December?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.64
Potential profit: $50.64
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $736.04

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $620.07

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.79

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.65

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $130.99

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.04

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.44

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.58

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.69

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.19

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.8

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.55

Yes position

Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in November?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.96

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.27

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.32

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in December?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.54

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 30.8% 162.54 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 30% 246.51 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 18.1% 138.12 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 33.1% 125.26 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 13% 216.86 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 79% 253.16 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 49% 102.04 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 39.9% 125.26 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 13.7% 364.98 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 23.1% 216.86 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 18.7% 370.41 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 16% 156.25 shares