Polymarket Trader

emreus

0x61313791c42f09ea053acc9eea9aaa6e7300fd16

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $163.78K
Realized PnL: $17.22K
Win rate: 42.1%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $42K
Potential payout: $50.3K
Potential profit: $8.3K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $17.37K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $24.77K
Potential payout: $46.3K
Potential profit: $21.53K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$769.44

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $22.47K
Potential payout: $31.2K
Potential profit: $8.74K
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $8.47K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $20.94K
Potential payout: $30.13K
Potential profit: $9.19K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $3.68K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $17.11K
Potential payout: $19.55K
Potential profit: $2.44K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.62K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $13K
Potential payout: $17.46K
Potential profit: $4.45K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $4.91K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $13.09K
Potential payout: $14.46K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.98K

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $11.94K
Potential profit: $10.26K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.33K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $4.55K
Potential payout: $11.52K
Potential profit: $6.97K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$645.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.31K
Potential profit: $8.31K
User PnL: -$1.76K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.17K
Potential profit: $7.17K
User PnL: -$526.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.08K
Potential profit: $7.08K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $6.26K
Potential profit: $5.2K
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$1.35K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.11K
Potential profit: $6.11K
User PnL: -$251.48

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $262.59
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.64K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $5.67K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$235.19

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $310.4
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $4.86K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$420.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$380

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $551.33
Potential payout: $648.62
Potential profit: $97.29
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $149.87

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.47
Potential profit: $352.47
User PnL: -$285.5

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.8
Potential profit: $65.8
User PnL: -$3.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.52

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.93

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

Under position

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$19.83

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.81

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$69.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$78.75

No position

Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$997.97

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.27K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 81% 352.47 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5

Under 57% 272.46 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?

Yes 19% 2,000 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Yes 6.6% 518 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 55% 75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 56% 100 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 46.7% 99 shares
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 12% 415.58 shares
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 21.9% 39.46 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 36% 183.6 shares
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 19.5% 326 shares
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 18.9% 44.24 shares