Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.38
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Polymarket Trader
0x78319De34A4afC9a79DE65D45B1c10ECbF5913ae-1767731000486
0x6135fdf233679b6d97fee0012d25badc3352715a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.55
- Realized PnL
- $0.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.04
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $8.38
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 61% 1.88 shares
- Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 58% 1.72 shares
- Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 53% 1.89 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 25.9% 3.86 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 53% 1.89 shares