Polymarket Trader

0x613B1cbBf0B7f386d1C2477886bd7E56813d75B2-1762731435350

0x613b1cbbf0b7f386d1c2477886bd7e56813d75b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$164.91
Win rate: 52.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Solana reach $240 November 3-9?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $875.43
Potential profit: $875.43
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $829.54
Potential profit: $829.54
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 9?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $694.92
Potential profit: $694.92
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $462.22
Potential profit: $462.22
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.66
Potential profit: $366.66
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.54
Potential profit: $327.54
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.18
Potential profit: $109.18
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.91
Potential profit: $99.91
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $96.77
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.17
Potential profit: $93.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.56
Potential profit: $88.56
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.81
Potential profit: $62.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

China coup attempt in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.46
Potential profit: $62.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Austria join NATO by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.5
Potential profit: $50.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.44

Yes position

Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Yes position

Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.71x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$230

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Up 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Up 1% 2,500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Up 1% 10,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Up 1% 10,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 25% 39.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Up 34% 31.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Up 25.1% 31.36 shares
Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 0.3% 1,000 shares
Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 0.4% 829.54 shares
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 0.6% 462.22 shares
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

No 3% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 24?

Yes 2% 99.9 shares