No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.36K
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $616.68
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $537.11
Polymarket Trader
Arpi
0x61471d5a98c8a4bc2e4fb28e2664b16b36341f72
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.36K
- Realized PnL
- $3.18K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $832.21
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.47
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.27
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.26
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $152.74
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.73
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.92
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.8
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $53.3
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $39.48
Yes position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $36.84
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.93
No position
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.86
No position
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will Who Believes in Angels? (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Andrew Tate posts 140-159 times?
Ends Jun 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 96.5% 600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 200 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 71% 600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 70% 1,469.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 5,248 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No 93% 4,007.15 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No 93% 4,007.15 shares
- Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Yes 92% 2,307.95 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 97.8% 1,030.18 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No 91% 2,664.75 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 61% 542.49 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 61% 1,101.43 shares